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Extract from a document from Stop Climate Chaos Scotland, in preparation for Durban Climate Talks (attached below):

Recent developments regarding climate science

There have been two deeply concerning developments in climate change science over the past few months. Firstly, a recent U.S. Department of Energy report highlighted that global greenhouse gas emissions have increased so significantly – even during a period of global recession – that they now exceed even the „worst-case scenario‟ that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had projected in their last main report in 2007.

Secondly, the International Energy Agency, has given its starkest warning yet about global energy consumption patterns. Its World Energy Outlook 2011 report concluded that “the door to 2°C is closing”, referring to the agreement reached at the UN climate change talks in Cancun last year to keep global temperatures no more than 2°C higher than they were in 1990. Their report continues by saying that, assuming that recent government policy commitments are implemented „in a cautious manner‟, „the world is on a trajectory that results in a level of emissions consistent with a long-term average temperature increase of more than 3.5°C. Without these new policies, we are on an even more dangerous track, for a temperature increase of 6°C or more.‟

 

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